EUR/USD Analysis: Correction or Continuation? Key Levels to Watch

The Euro to US Dollar exchange rate (EUR/USD) has recently pulled back from its highs. Let’s break down the current situation and what it might mean for traders.

Recent Price Action

  • EUR/USD has retreated from a high of 1.1008 to as low as 1.0881.
  • This pullback has traders questioning whether it’s a temporary correction or the start of a larger downtrend.

The Big Picture As long as EUR/USD stays above the 1.0870 support level, this pullback can be viewed as a correction within the larger uptrend that began at 1.0665. This means we could see another push towards 1.1008 after this consolidation phase.

Key Levels to Watch

Resistance Levels:

  1. Initial Resistance: 1.0945
    • A break above this could trigger a move towards 1.1008.
  2. Major Resistance: 1.1008
    • If broken, look for moves towards 1.1050 and potentially 1.1100.

Support Levels:

  1. Initial Support: 1.0900
    • A break below might lead to a test of 1.0870.
  2. Critical Support: 1.0870
    • If this breaks, we could see a drop towards 1.0820.

What This Means for Traders

Bullish Scenario:

  • Look for EUR/USD to hold above 1.0870.
  • Watch for a break above 1.0945 as a signal for potential long entries.
  • Ultimate target in this scenario would be 1.1100.

Bearish Scenario:

  • A break below 1.0870 would be concerning for bulls.
  • This could open the door for a move towards 1.0820.

Key Takeaways

  1. The overall trend remains bullish as long as 1.0870 holds.
  2. 1.0945 is the key level to watch for potential upside momentum.
  3. A break below 1.0870 would signal a potential shift in the trend.

Remember, forex markets can change quickly. Always use proper risk management and stay informed about economic events that could impact currency movements.

We’ll continue to monitor EUR/USD and provide updates as the situation evolves. Happy trading!